GLOBAL FORECASTS AND DEVELOPMENT REALITIES OF THE WORLD-SYSTEM OF GLOBALISM
Keywords:
globalization, world-system of economic globalism, global neo-convergence of the developed and developing socioeconomic systems, global forecasting, global neoindustrializationAbstract
In the 21st century, which is becoming an era of radical change in the human environment, globalization is shaping the development vector of every country in the world.
Today, long-term forecasts of global development for the next 25 and 50 years rely on strictly imperative norms; the “breakthrough into the future” scenarios should proceed from the actual unity of the world and take into account the transition-transformation nature of its development.
Global transformation has no end; the social and economic convergence of countries with different levels and characteristics of development is a new phenomenon that calls for in-depth political and economic study. The expert community has already concluded that recurring crises of overproduction will alternate with non-cyclical crises of overconsumption of resources, while the accompanying new technologies of social production and economic relations will become even more dynamic.
Downloads
References
See: Mapping the Global Future, Report of the National Intelligence Council’s 2020 Project, available at [http://
lobaltrends2030.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/global-trends_mapping-the-global-future-2020-project.pdf].
See: Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World, Report by the National Intelligence Council, Washington, 2009,available at [http://www.aicpa.org/research/cpahorizons2025/globalforces/downloadabledocuments/globaltrends.pdf].
A.I. Utkin, V.G. Fedotova, Budushchee glazami natsionalnogo soveta po razvedke SShA: globalnye tendentsii do 2025 goda, INES-MAIB, Moscow, 2009, p. 6.
Mapping the Global Future.
See: Z. Brzezinski, Strategic Vision: America and the Crisis of Global Power, Basic Books, New York, 2012, p. 1.
Mapping the Global Future.
See: K. Ohmae, The Borderless World: Power and Strategy in the Interlinked Economy, Harper Business, New York,1990, 223 pp.
See: K. Ohmae, The End of the National State, The Free Press, New York, 1995, p. 5.
See: L. Kaplan, “Meanwhile on the Left…” The National Interest, Spring 2000, pp. 146-158.
J. Gray, The False Dawn: The Delusions of Global Capitalism, The New Press, New York, 2007, p. 6.
See: L. Weiss, The Myth of the Powerless State. Governing the Economy in a Global Era, Cambridge, 1999, p. 186.
See: R.Z. Lawrence, “Workers and Economists: Resist the Binge,” Foreign Affairs, No. 3-4, 1996.
R. Keohane, J. Nge, “Power and Interdependence in the Information Age,” Foreign Affairs, No. 9-10, 1998, p. 89.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2014 AUTHOR
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
You are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format for any purpose, even commercially.
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially.
- The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.
Under the following terms:
- Attribution — You must give appropriate credit , provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made . You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
- No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
Notices:
You do not have to comply with the license for elements of the material in the public domain or where your use is permitted by an applicable exception or limitation .
No warranties are given. The license may not give you all of the permissions necessary for your intended use. For example, other rights such as publicity, privacy, or moral rights may limit how you use the material.
