Great Power Competition in Central Asia: The Rise of China and the U.S. Response

Authors

  • Mahram Ali Shebar Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61841/9yqmmm96

Keywords:

Central Asia, China, U.S, rivalry.

Abstract

Central Asia is a strategically important region for both the United States and China. Since 1991, the U.S. has sought to strengthen its position in the region through investments in various sectors, and some Central Asian countries allowed NATO access to their airbases for operations in Afghanistan. However, after 2001, U.S. influence declined due to Russian policies and the rise of China as a regional competitor. China has increased its influence in Central Asia through significant investments and strategic partnerships. This research examines the potential future rivalry between the U.S. and China in Central Asia. Using secondary sources such as journals, books, newspapers, and policy analyses, the study predicts ongoing geopolitical competition between the two powers. Findings suggest that the U.S. may attempt to counter China’s Belt and Road Initiative, both countries may form regional coalitions to protect their interests, and proxy conflicts could emerge as a means to limit each other’s influence in the region.

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Published

2026-04-17

Issue

Section

CHINA’S POLICY IN CENTRAL EURASIA: SPECIFICS AND PROSPECTS

How to Cite

Shebar, M. A. (2026). Great Power Competition in Central Asia: The Rise of China and the U.S. Response. CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS, 27(1), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.61841/9yqmmm96

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