ARMENIAN FOREIGN POLICY: OORDINATING THE INTERESTS OF THE U.S., THE EU,AND RUSSIA

Authors

  • Hrant MIKAELIAN Research fellow at the Institute of the Caucasus (Erevan, Armenia) Author

Abstract

The severe depression of the 1990s that served the background for Armenia’s foreign policy determined many of its outstanding features. Isolation and blockade forced the country to turn to the Armenian diaspora. The landlocked country living in “neither peace nor war” could not attract the West; however it established effective cooperation with Russia and Iran. In recent years it has widened its contacts with the European Union and the United States. This helped the Armenians to survive in the hardest first post-Soviet years.

The Soviet successor states (with the exception of the Baltic countries) were ill-prepared to conduct an independent foreign policy: the statehood experience and skills of coexistence had largely been lost in the region. Over the 70 years the three Caucasian states (Azerbaijan, Georgia and Armenia) were detached from their immediate neighbors (Turkey and Iran) they cooperated solely with Russia—it was not until the 1990s that  they returned to their natural regional environment.

 

The region borders on Russia, Turkey, and Iran (in fact, on the Greater Middle East and Central Asia), while on the other side of the Black Sea it finds itself at the doors of the European Union. This explains why each of the countries has had to look for an acceptable balance of forces to protect its interests.

Their newly acquired independence suggested that the three Caucasian states build their foreign policies from scratch. The three republics preferred to indulge themselves in the myths of their advantageous geographic location1 and the possibility of “making the best of both worlds” by living on their own resources—it was generally  believed that the Center had hindered their development. Reality proved to be different: the region plunged into an abyss of economic crisis and post-Soviet chaos; Armenia suffered more than its neighbors: its standard of living took a nosedive.  

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

See: G. Demoian, Simvolicheskaia geografia ili geografia kak simvol na postsovetskom Yuzhnom Kavkaze.

dentichnost’, vlast’ i gorod v rabotakh molodykh uchenykh Yuzhnogo Kavkaza, Heinrich Böll Foundation, Tbilisi, 2005,p. 88.

Ibid., p. 93.

See: O. Vasilieva, Severny Kavkaz v poiskakh regional’noy ideologii, Progress Publishers, Moscow,1994, p. 9.

See: Azerbaijanskaia Demokraticheskaia Respubli-ka-90, Predislovie, Salam Press, Moscow, 2008, p. 5.

See, for example: E. Ismailov, V. Papava, The Cen-tral Caucasus: Essays on Geopolitical Economy, CÀ & CC Press, Sweden, 2006.

According to the IMF, in 1980 the Polish GDP dropped by 10 percent; in 1981 by 6 percent. In 1985, the trend reached Hungary and Rumania. The Bulgarian economy has been declining at a fast pace starting in 1989.

CIA World Factbook, 1992. Armenia/Economy, available at [http://www.umsl.edu/services/govdocs/wofact92/

f930017.txt].

See: A. Khalatian, “Politicheskiy monitoring: Armenia v ianvare 1993 goda,” Mezhdunarodny Institut Gumanitarno-politicheskikh issledovaniy, available at [http://www.igpi.ru/monitoring/1047645476/jan1993/armen.html].

The railway bridge in Abkhazia was blasted on 14 August, 1992; transit railway transportation was halted and never restored (see: “Istoria abkhazskoy zheleznoy dorogi,” NEWSru.com, available at [http://www.newsru.com/background/

dec2004/zheldor_print.html].

See: S. Goldenberg, The Pride of Small Nations. The Caucasus and Post-Soviet Disorder, Zed Books Ltd, Lon-don and New Jersey, 1994, pp. 54-55; G. Demoian, Turtsia i Karabakhskiy konflikt, Erevan, 2006, p. 77.

The table is based on figures taken from different sources, including [http://armstat.am], Agency for Migration,Ministry of Territorial Administration of the Republic of Armenia [http://backtoarmenia.com/?hcat=85&scat=87]; CIA World Factbook (1992-current), CIS Statistical Committee (Armenia) [http://cisstat.org/rus/arm.htm] and WB Consolidated Table “GDP of the Countries of the World, 1960-1990 [http://earthtrends.wri.org/text/economics-business/variable-638.html].

See: S. Minasian, “Nekotorye kontseptual’nye osnovy vneshney politiki Armenii,” available at [http://

ww.noravank.am/ru/?page=analitics&nid=1684].

Ibidem.

See the organization’s official site [http://www.dkb.gov.ru/start/index.htm].

“Armianskaia storona neodnokratno zaiavliala, chto ona za otkrytie granitsy bez predvaritel’nykh usloviy,” available at [http://www.rosbalt.ru/2009/04/15/633793.html].

See: F. Rzaev, “907 popravka:istoria i perspektivy. Kavkaz i Tsentral’naia Azia,” available at [http://www.ca-c.org/

ournal/cac-04-1999/st_21_rzayev.shtml]; “SShA ne budut finansirovat’ stroitel’stvo zheleznoy dorogi v obkhod Armenii,”available at [http://www.regnum.ru/news/709719.html].

See: M. Agajanian, “Diasporal’ny resurs Armenii kak “assimetrichny” otvet na ee izoliatsiu,” available at [http://

oravank.am/ru/?page=analitics&nid=662].

See: S. Lurie, “Russkie i armiane v Zakavkazie: dinamika kontaktnoy situatsii (etnopsikhologicheskiy podkhod),”available at [http://svlourie.narod.ru/armenian-myth/russ-arm.htm].

According to the official figures of the 2002 population census, there were about 1,130 thousand Armenians liv-ing in Russia; since 1989 their number has increased by about 600 thousand (see: “National’ny sostav naselenia Rossii po dannym perepisi naselenia (tysiach chelovek),” available at [http://www.demoscope.ru/weekly/ssp/rus_nation.php]).

According to CIA World Factbook /Armenia/Economy, in 2007 Russia accounted for 15.1 percent of Armenia’s import and 17.5 percent of its export (see [https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/am.html#Econ]).

See: “Armenia: Russia’s Strengthening Hand,” Stratfor, 19 February, 2008.

Some analysts believe that Russia might support Azerbaijan on the Nagorno-Karabakh issue in exchange for wide cooperation in the gas sphere (see: E. Gospodinov, “Nagorny Karabakh podnimut na vysshiy uroven’. (Po rezul’tatam vstrechi prezidentov Rossii i Azerbaijana),” Kommersant, available at [http://kommersant.ru/doc.aspx?DocsID=1157669];Sh. Abbasov, “Azerbaidzhan: Is Baku Offering a Natural Gas Carrot to Moscow for Help with Karabakh? Eurasia Insight,”available at [http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insightb/articles/eav042009a.shtml].

See, for example, Mathias Brüggmann’s article in Handelsblatt: “Gazprom kreist Europa noch weiter ein,” avail-able at [http://www.robertamsterdam.com/deutsch/2008/04/gazprom_kreist_europa_noch_wei.html], 9 June, 2006.

Council of Europe—Armenia, available at [http://www.coe.int/T/E/Com/About_Coe/Member_states/e_ar.asp].

GSP+ (General System of Preferences Plus) gives duty-free access to the EU market for around 6,400 tariff lines (see: Arka.am, 30 January, 2009, available at [http://www.arka.am/rus/economy/2009/01/30/12921.html]).

Armenia is represented by 4 deputies in PACE, Azerbaijan by 6, and Georgia by 7 (see [http://www.coe.int/t/r/

arliamentary_Assembly/#P95_16425]).

On 1 March, 2008, the authorities disbanded a rally in Erevan which developed into mass disorders; 8 demonstrators and 2 policemen died; hundreds were wounded, some of the suspected organizers were detained. This was followed by introducing a state of emergency and limitations on the freedom of meetings and demonstrations.

See: Delovoy ekspress newspaper, 30 December, 2004, available at [http://www.express.am/50_04/korotko.html].

The Eastern Partnership Program includes 6 post-Soviet states: Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Moldova, Ukraine,and Belarus.

See translation of an article by Marc Deger from La Tribune [http://inosmi.ru/translation/248627.html].

See, for example, an article by Ruben Margarian “Agoniziruiushchiy Bryza,” Golos Armenii, 3 April, 2008.

“Foreign Policy of Armenia in 2008: Final Report by the Foreign Ministry of Armenia (in Armenian). Unofficial translation made by the Regnum Information Agency can be found at [http://www.regnum.ru/news/1114655.html].

In 2007 Armenia received military assistance totaling over $3.1 million from the United States (see [http://www.

ashprofile.org/en/node/7958]).

See: V.A. Zakharov, A.G. Areshev, Rasshirenie NATO v gosudarstva Zakavkazia: etapy, namerenia, rezul’taty,Moscow, 2008, pp. 284-285.

See: H. Mikaelian, “Organizatsia dogovora o kollektivnoi bezopasnosti i Armenia,” available at [www.mitq.org/

rint/?l=rus&dir=2&news=1855] [http://analitika.at.ua/news/2009-04-05-7427].

For the full report of the UNDP Human Development Index 2007-2008 see: [http://hdr.undp.org/en/media/

DR_20072008_EN_Complete.pdf].

For the complete rating see: Fund for Peace–Failed States Index 2008, available at [http://www.fundforpeace.org/

eb/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=99&Itemid=140].

Freedom of the press—2008. Reporters without Borders, available at [http://www.rsf.org/article.php3?id_article=29031].

CIA World Factbook, Country Comparisons—GDP—per capita (PPP), 2008, available at [https://www.cia.gov/

ibrary/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2004rank.html].

See: Heritage Foundation. Index of Economic Freedom World Rankings 2009, available at [http://www.heritage.

rg/Index/Ranking.asp].

Downloads

Published

2009-06-30

Issue

Section

RUSSIA’S POLICY IN CENTRAL EURASIA: SPECIFICS AND PROSPECTS

How to Cite

MIKAELIAN, H. (2009). ARMENIAN FOREIGN POLICY: OORDINATING THE INTERESTS OF THE U.S., THE EU,AND RUSSIA. CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS, 10(3), 116-124. https://ca-c.org/CAC/index.php/cac/article/view/1309

Plaudit