THE POSSIBLE CONSEQUENCES OF PUBLICIZING MYTHS ABOUT THE CHINESE THREAT
Abstract
The Russian and other national media have recently begun publishing stories on the rising so-called Chinese threat with increasing frequency. They focus on speculations about the further domination of the developed countries in the world economy and politics in the wake of China’s growing might, which is arousing worries about the emergence of a direct military threat to more than just its neighboring countries.
Of course, pluralism of opinions is a good thing, but any conclusions should be based on an analysis of the circumstances and different factors, as well as on a correct assessment of the new phenomena and processes.
Unfortunately, some media are only bent on drawing attention to themselves by publishing sensational material. Moreover, spreading these myths is often deliberate and is made even worse by the fact that they are entirely unsubstantiated.
Serious experts who write for a thinking and educated auditorium are inclined to turn a blind eye to such publications and refrain from publicly criticizing them, since they do not want to arouse undeserved interest in them. But this response is not entirely justified, particularly when it affects the complicated problems of interstate cooperation. We must take into account the negative effect of false information on the formation of public opinion about particular states, which could have an impact on their interrelations.
More often than not, the authors of dubious publications use various nongovernment organizations (institutions, centers, foundations, and so on), both Russian and international, as smoke screens. Whereby, if we are to believe the reference guide Nauchnye instituty, issledovatel’skie tsentry i organizatsii Rossii i stran SNG (Scientific Institutes, Research Centers, and Organizations of Russia and the CIS Countries), there are certainly plenty to choose from.1 They usually abound in topics that focus on the problems of interstate relations, global and regional security issues, and assessments of the military policy of various countries.
Of course, extremely serious organizations that enjoy the well-earned trust of authoritative specialists can also be found. But there are others, which, instead of presenting the substantiated results of in-depth studies, churn out a different product full of controversial, sensational, and even scandalous arguments. This is their way of proving that they are important to certain Russian and, particularly, foreign circles (for financial reasons).
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References
See: Reference Guide, Nauchnye instituty i organ-izatsii Rossii i stran SNG, vedushchie izuchenie mezhdunar-odnykh problem i problem mezhdunarodnoi bezopasnosti,Center of Political and International Studies, Moscow, 1996,95 pages.
Newspapers—Novaia gazeta, Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, Literaturnaia gazeta, Vremya MN, Znamia, Otechest-vennye zapiski; Internet sites—russ. ru, globalrus.ru, ima-press.ru, rbc.ru; television channels—All-Russia National Tele-vision and Radio Broadcasting Company, REN-TV; radio—Radio Russia, Mayak-24.
A. Khramchikhin, “Pochemu Kitai slomaet ves’ mir,” available at [http://www.apn.ru/publications/article20310.htm
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For example, if a family goes to Africa, it is given a travel allowance of $7,000. If families organize a village, they receive $70,000.
See: A. Khamchikhin, “Kitai protiv Rossii: Pobeda budet ne za nami,” Populiarnaia mekhanika, No. 2 (88), Feb-ruary 2010, p. 89.
A. Khramchikhin, “Kak Kitai razdavit Rossiiu: voina budet korotkoi, u Rossii net shansov.”
Russia’s Military Doctrine, Part II: “Military-Strategic Principles,” Point 3.
Yu. Morozov, “Prospects for U.S.-Russia Cooperation in Central Asia,” Carnegie Council Electronic Journal (USA), Aug. 2009 (see also: Yu. Morozov, “Afghanistan: Potential Field of Russia-U.S. Regional Cooperation,” Central Asia and the Caucasus, No. 3 (57), 2009).
The latest issue of China’s National Defense was published in December 2008.
A. Khramchikhin, “Kitai utochniaet voennuiu politiku,” available at [http://www.chaskor.ru/article/itaj_utochnyaet_voennuyu_politiku_2932].
A. Gabuev, “A ved’ oni preduprezhdali,” Kommersant, No. 16 (4316), 1 January, 2010.
[http://www.politforums.ru/foreign/1234697591.html].
The journals Rossiia v global’noi politike/Russia in Global Affairs, Problemy Dal’nego Vostoka/Far Eastern Af-fairs, Voennaia mysl’/Military Thought, Tsentral’naia Azia i Kavkaz/Central Asia and the Caucasus (published in Sweden and distributed in 50 countries), and Indeks bezopasnosti/Index iSi are also published in English.—Ed.
See: A. Klimenko, “Voennye doktriny stran ATR: voprosy soglasovaniia,” Voennaia mysl’, No. 2, 2002.
See: Nezavisimoe voennoe obozrenie, No. 36, 2001, p. 5.
See: A. Deviatov, “Rossiia i Kitai—sosedi na flange,” Gazeta, No. 1, 11 January, 2010.
Author of the monograph Daguo ce-2 Liu Yazhou is a high-ranking general in the PLA.
According to Yakov Berger, Chief Researcher at the Institute of Far Eastern Studies Center, RAS.
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