KAZAKHSTAN: CAPITAL FORMATION PROBLEMS ON THE WAY TO A MARKET ECONOMY
Abstract
Countries that have taken the road of transition from a planned economy to a market economy encounter roughly similar problems, which have by now been thoroughly studied. Initially, politicians and researchers were concerned about such problems as social stability during the transition crisis, budget execution, the pace of liberalization and advance toward an open economy and, naturally, the character of emerging property relations. One can hardly dispute that at this stage it is extremely difficult to take a systems approach to the creation of market institutions. Naturally, we understand these institutions in the modern sense of the word, as a combination of formal legal frame-work and effective norms, including rules of conduct of market agents actually observed in practice. In the early 1990s, it was assumed (in most cases tacitly) that the formation of a private (preferably competitive) economy would result in a rapid revival of economic activity. In the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, the turn toward the marketplace took about five years, and growth was first recorded in the mid-1990s. The recession in the former socialist countries has been analyzed time and again, but some of the earliest studies already gave a sufficiently clear explanation of the general causes of the transition crisis. As regards Russia and Kazakhstan, these causes were justly listed as follows: manufacture of unneeded goods, inefficient production and irrational allocation of re-source inputs.1
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References
See: J. Williamson, The Eastern Transition to a Market Economy: A Global Perspective. LSE, Occasional Paper #2,1992.
“In order to maintain a steadily high rate of economic growth, … it is necessary over the next four or five years to bring gross fixed capital formation as a percentage of GDP up to the level of 28%.” Address by the President of the Republic of Kazakh-stan to the People of Kazakhstan for 2004, April 2003.
In 2003, these laws were combined into a single Law on Investment.
According to data from the Statistics Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan.
Today Russia has only three projects (Sakhalin-1, Sakhalin-2 and Kharyaga) being implemented under PSAs signed before the entry into force in 1995 of the Law on PSAs (amendments and addenda to that law were introduced in 1999 and 2001). These three agreements have a “special status:” under the Law on PSAs they are “to be executed in accordance with the terms and con-ditions specified in these agreements.” The PSA pioneer firms have got down to the second stage of development and have an-nounced the second phase of their investment programs (about $20 billion).
According to data from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Kazakhstan.
Estimates by the World Bank and the Ministry of Economics and Budget Planning of the Republic of Kazakhstan.
In the coming years, the CPC system is to be expanded to 67m tons of oil per year.
Data for total imports of goods and services from the National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan and balances of pay-ments for the respective years.
Indicative Plan of Social and Economic Development of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2004-2006.
According to the Indicative Plan of Social and Economic Development of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the annual rate of growth in 2004-2006 could be 7.2% if the average world price of oil (Brent crude) is $22 per barrel, and 4.4% if it is $13.3 per barrel.
Strategy of Industrial-Innovative Development of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2003-2015. Decree of the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan of 17 May, 2003.
See: Ye.A. Utembaev, “Promyshlennaia politika i administrativnaia reforma. Dolgosrochnye prioritety,” in: Promysh-lennaia politika i administrativnaia reforma, Presidential Administration, Republic of Kazakhstan, Borovoye, November 2003,p. 215.
The social tax was introduced in 1999, incorporating social payments into extrabudgetary funds. From 1 July, 2001, its rate was reduced from 26% to 21%, and from 1 January, 2004, this tax was switched to a regressive scale (from 20% to 7%).
Under the rental tax on exported crude oil, the object of taxation is the amount of exported crude oil calculated in value terms based on market prices with due regard for the qualitative characteristics of crude oil net of transportation expenses.
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