COLOR REVOLUTIONS IN THE CENTRAL ASIAN CONTEXT: KYRGYZSTAN-UZBEKISTAN-KAZAKHSTAN
Abstract
The rapid developments in some of the Central Asian countries—the power change in Kyrgyzstan that took place on 24 March,2005: the bloodshed in Andijan, Uzbekistan, on 13-14 May, Tashkent’s withdrawal from GUUAM, and other events have brought the problems created by the varied regional processes and policies pursued by Russia, China, the U.S., and the European Union into the limelight.
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See: Iuzhniy flang SNG. Tsentral’naia Azia-Kaspy-Kavkaz: vozmozhnosti i vyzovy dlia Rossii, ed. by M.M. Narin-skiy and A.V. Malgin, Moscow, 2003; V.M. Kulagin, “Rezhimniy faktor vo vneshney politike postsovetskikh gosudarstv,”Polis, No. 1, 2004, pp. 115-124.
See: D. Furman, “Divergentsia politicheskikh sistem na postsovetskom prostranstve,” Svobodnaia mysl XXI, No. 10,2004, pp. 14-24.
S. Belkovskiy, Reyting pretendentov na revoliutsiu [http://www.analitika.org/article.php?story=20050522021033988], 5 June, 2005.
Ibidem.5 Nezavisimaia gazeta, 23 May, 2005.
See: D. Makarov, “Islamskiy ekstremizm v Tsentral’noy Azii: vnutrenniaia ili vneshniaia ugroza bezopasnosti?”Transformatsia tsentral’noaziatskikh obshchestv i regional’naia bezopasnost, Moscow, 2005, pp. 95-106.
See: A. Lukoianov, “Komu i zachem byl nuzhen Andijan?” [http://www.analitika.org/article.php?story=20050522020506169], 5 June, 2005.
Ibidem.
See: A. Makenov, “Andijan v traure. Revolutsii ne budet. No budet novy president” [http://www.analitika.org/
rticle.php?story=20050519020522974], 5 June 2005.
See: E. Djumabaev, “Revolutsia maka. Kyrgyzstan: problema geopoliticheskogo vybora” [http://www.analitika.org/
rticle.php?story=20050519020522974], 5 June 2005.
The article was written before 10 July and could not naturally take into account the results of the off-year presidential election, therefore the individual assessments should be treated as forecasts. —Auth.
[http://www.ng.ru/courier/2005-05-23/11_bakiev.html], 5 June 2005.
[http://www.saturn-ural.ru/analit/2.html].
A. Subbotin, “Perspektivy revoliutsii v Kazakhstane” [www.analitika.org/article.php?story=2005052202020722],5 June 2005.
Ibidem.
The former two were born in Uzbekistan; the third represents the Jewish diaspora of Kyrgyzstan. This inevitably stirs up negative feelings among the Kazakhstan’s traditional elite mainly “delegated” by the southern zhuz that congregates in Almaty.
Statement of SCO Secretary Zhang Deguang [www.csis.org/china/], 27 March, 2005.
See: S. Luzianin, “Materials and Documents on the Kyrgyzstan-China Border. Executive Editor N. Kerimbekova,
Bishkek, 2003, 248 pp. Review,” Far Eastern Affairs. A Russian Journal on China, Japan and Asia-Pacific Region, Vol. 33, No. 1, 2005, pp. 153-155.
Beijing Review, Sunday, 17 April 2005.
Ibidem.
As the leading expert of the Institute for East European, Russian and Central Asian Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, he was one of the groups of 14 Chinese observers the Foreign Ministry of China sent to Bishkek to observe the previous elections.
See: Beijing Review, Sunday, 17 April 2005.
Ibidem.
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