THE ECONOMY OF “ROSE” GEORGIA: LOWERING OR FADING?

Authors

  • Sergey SMIRNOV Independent analyst (Almaty, Kazakhstan) Author

Abstract

In the days of the Soviet Union, Georgia was one of the most flourishing Soviet republics due to its protected tea and wine market and its attractive Black Sea resorts. The breakup of the U.S.S.R., the opening by the FSU republics of their borders to broad imports following the “parade of sovereignties,” and wars within the country led to a sharp decline in Georgia’s economic indicators, but in recent years the situation has begun to improve (see Table 1).
 Nevertheless, living standards in Georgia remain low. Official unemployment is around 13% of the working age population.1 But independent experts believe2 that from 2003 to the beginning of 2005 unemployment rose by 20% toindicators, but in recent years the situation has begun to improve (see Table 1).
 Nevertheless, living standards in Georgia remain low. Official unemployment is around 13% of the working age population.1 But independent experts believe2 that from 2003 to the beginning of 2005 unemployment rose by 20% to around 47% of the working age population.3 Most large industrial enterprises remain at a standstill or operate at less than full capacity.
 During the years of independence, over 1 million people4 —the most employable and active part of the population—have left the country. A significant proportion of Georgia’s population subsists, for the most part, on remittance-es from relatives working abroad. Experts estimate the annual number of remittances from Georgian “guest workers” living in Russia alone at $1-2 billion. According to an IMF analytical report on the economic prospects of the Middle East and Central Asia, remittances from abroad in 2005 accounted for over 5% of Georgian GDP.5 The country’s Minister of State Ka-kha Bendukidze estimates this amount at 4% of GDP.

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References

See: [http://www.statistics.ge], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.materik.ru/index.php?country=5],20 November, 2006.

Official unemployment statistics do not include people living in rural areas or city dwellers in possession of garden plots.

See: [http://www.businessuchet.ru/content/donwnload.asp? r=1D66DA0 2-51 E8-4208 -B C B0-1EC670DC3083], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.ruvr.ru/main.php?lng=rus&q=10702], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.statistics.ge], 20 November, 2006.

Significant revenues from privatization have helped to reduce Georgia’s net external debt. According to the Geor-

gian Ministry of Finance, the total amount of external public debt ($1.68 billion) and sovereign credit as of 31 August, 2005,was $1.77 billion (or 3.16 billion lari).

See: Vedomosti, 23 October, 2006.

Ibidem.

See: [http://www.materik.ru/index.php?country=5], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.wn.ru/finance/news/07.02.2006/2.html].

See: [http://www.izvestia.ru/news/news116774/?print], 20 November, 2006.

See: Transition Report 2006, EBRD, available at [http://www.ebrd.com/pubs/econo/6813r.pdf], 20 November,2006].

See: Spirtnye napitki i pivo, No. 30, 19 October, 2006.

See: [http://www.izvestia.ru/news/news116774/?print], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://russian.people.com.cn/31519/3408935.html], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.168.am/ru/articles/2259-pr], 20 November, 2006.

See: Transition Report 2006, EBRD.

According to the Georgian State Statistics Department, the official average wage at year-end 2004 was 140 lari (about $78) per month. In the agricultural sector, hotel and restaurant business, education and health care, the respective figures were 53 lari ($30), 65 lari ($36), 75 lari ($42) and 83 lari ($46) per month. The average pension was 28 lari ($15).

y comparison (January 2005 data), the price of meat was $3-3.5 per kg, cheese, $3-4.2 per kg, and gasoline, $0.8 per liter. The country has 900 thousand pensioners; the number of people working under oral or written contracts is around 600 thousand, i.e., there are more than two dependents per person.

See: [http://www.businessuchet.ru/content/download.asp?r=1D66DA02-51E8-4208-BCB0-1EC670DC3083],20 November, 2006.

See: Akhali taoba, 28 June, 2006.

See: [http://www.civil.ge/rus/print.php?id=10626], 20 November, 2006.

See: Transition Report 2006, EBRD.

In October 2006, the World Bank approved a $20 million loan to Georgia for fighting corruption and improving the investment climate.

See: [http://www.kavkaz-uzel.ru/newstext/news/id/1058048.html], 20 November, 2006.

Ibidem.

See: [http://www.finmarket.ru/z/nws/news.asp?id=472558], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.sandp.ru/article.php?pubid=2350&sec=cr], 20 November, 2006.

See: [http://www.finmarket.ru/z/nws/news.asp?id=472558], 20 November, 2006.

See: Transition Report 2006, EBRD.

See: [http://www.vz.ru/economy/2006/11/12/56777.html], 20 November, 2006.

In the fall of 2006, Britain’s Stemcor UK Ltd acquired the assets of JSC Chiatura Manganese for $14.15 million and a 40-year license for manganese production for $5.5 million.

See: [http://www.finmarket.ru/z/nws/news.asp?id=472558], 20 November, 2006.

As of 1 June, 2005, TuranAlem’s assets totaled $5.3 billion, and its equity capital, $578 million. Its shareholders are the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Reiffeisen Zentralbank (RZB), International Finance Cor-poration (IFC), German Investment and Development Company (DEG), and Netherlands Development Finance Company (FMO). The rating assigned to the Bank by Standard & Poor’s (BB-) is the highest among financial institutions in the CIS.

See: [http://www.rosinvest.com/news/163460/].

See: Invest-Kazakhstan, No. 3, 2006, p. 39.

See: [http://www.sandp.ru/article.php?pubid=2350&sec=cr], 20 November, 2006.

See: Vedomosti, 23 October, 2006.

See: Transition Report 2006, EBRD.

See: Parlamentskaia gazeta, 28 September, 2005.

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Published

2007-02-28

Issue

Section

REGIONAL ECONOMIES

How to Cite

SMIRNOV, S. (2007). THE ECONOMY OF “ROSE” GEORGIA: LOWERING OR FADING?. CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS, 8(1), 134-144. https://ca-c.org/CAC/index.php/cac/article/view/1053

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