GUAM: WILL IT EXPAND TO CENTRAL ASIA?
Abstract
The mini-CIS (EurAsEC, ORI, the Russian-Belorussian Union, CACO, and GUAM) is a central concern among the many other conceptual and strategic issues the Commonwealth of Independent States is facing today. GUAM stands apart: it is a unique structure that has little in common with the interstate alliances; it is a post-Soviet organization in the full sense of the word. Its three dimensions post-imperial, economic, and geopolitical confirm its specific nature.
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I have already tried to disprove the theory of Western plots in the guise of proliferation of democracy in: “The Moment of Truth: End of the Transition Period? (On the Democratic Initiative in the Central Asian States),” Central Asia and the Caucasus, No. 5 (35), 2005.
See: I. Gelashvili, “Dve modeli integratsii. Baku gotovitsia k sammitu GUAM,” available at [www.centrasia.ru],14 March, 2007 (Source: Vesti of Russia).
E. Ismailov, “New Regionalism in the Caucasus: A Conceptual Approach,” The Caucasus & Globalization,Vol. 1 (1), 2006, p. 17.
See: G. Novikova, “Yuzhny Kavkaz-Evropeyskiy Soiuz: ozhidania i realii,” in: Voprosy regional’noy bezopas-nosti: 2006, Sbornik tsentra “Spekrum,” Amrotz group, Erevan, 2006, pp. 10-18.
See: I. Gelashvili, op. cit.
See: “Klub na tri bukvy. Moldavia mozhet vyiti iz GUAM,” available at [www.centrasia.ru], 22 June, 2007 (Source: Moskovskie novosti).
A. Matveev, “‘Ostrov GUAM’ pod protektsiey NATO,” Voenno-promyshlenny kur’er, No. 40 (206), 17-23 Octo-ber, 2007.
T. Torosian, Evropeiskaia integratsia—iskliuchitel’ny shans dlia reshenia problem Yuzhnogo Kavkaza—Yuzhny Kavkaz kak chast Bol’shoy Evropy, Sbornik tsenra “Spektrum,” Amrotz group, Erevan, 2005, p. 10.
About how democratic geopolitics differ from the old imperial see: F. Tolipov, “Russia in Central Asia: Retreat,Retention, Or Return?” Central Asia and the Caucasus, No. 5 (47), 2007.
V. Khliupin, Voyna, Islam i geopolitika: Rossia i Tsentral’naia Azia v XXI veke, Moscow, 2000.
[http://www.proua.com/news/2005/05/29/124139.html].
[http://www.guam.org.ua/188.987.0.0.1.0.phtml].
E. Ismailov, op. cit., pp. 18-19.
See: J. Eyvazov, “Geopolitical Lessons of the Post-Soviet Caucasus: Forward to Globalization Or Back to Clas-sical Eurasian Geopolitics?” The Caucasus & Globalization, Vol. 1 (1), 2006.
For Turkey’s new geopolitics see: G. Bacik, “Turkey’s New Geopolitical Narrative,” Central Asia and the Cau-casus, No. 3 (39), 2006.
N. Norling, “EU’s Central Asia Policy: The Adoption of a New Strategy Paper 2007-2013,” Central Asia and the Caucasus, No. 3 (45), 2007, p. 15.
The Greater Central Asian conception, formulated by prominent American scholar S. Frederick Starr, Chairman of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute at Johns Hopkins University’s Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, includes Central Asia and Afghanistan (see: F. Starr, “A Partnership for Central Asia,” Foreign Affairs, No. 4,July-August 2005).
The figures are quoted in: N. Norling, op. cit.
N. Silaev, “GUAM and the Smaller Game in the Post-Soviet Expanse,” Central Asia and the Caucasus, No. 4 (40),2006, p. 92.
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